Most HVAC businesses in Nevada sell for roughly 2x to 3.3x of SDE for owner-operated shops, and around 5x to 6x of EBITDA once earnings reach the $500K to $1M range, with larger and cleaner companies trading higher. The real driver of your number is how much of the profit survives without you. Here is how to think about it.
What the multiple is actually measuring
When a buyer pays 3x of SDE, they are paying three years of the profit the business throws off, betting they can keep that profit after you hand over the keys. So every dollar of that multiple is really a judgment about risk. The more the business depends on you personally, the fewer years a buyer will pay for, because the more likely that profit walks out the door with you.
SDE (Seller's Discretionary Earnings) is your net profit plus your owner salary, benefits, and any one-time or personal expenses added back. It is the right lens for a smaller owner-operated shop. EBITDA is used once the business is big enough to run with a manager in your seat, because the owner's pay is already a real line item.
Typical Nevada HVAC ranges
| Business size | Basis | Typical multiple |
|---|---|---|
| Small owner-operated | SDE | About 2x to 3.3x |
| $500K to $1M earnings | EBITDA | About 5x to 6x |
| Larger, management-run, strong service mix | EBITDA | 6x and up |
These are typical market ranges reported across HVAC M&A data, not a quote on your business. A residential service company with heavy recurring maintenance revenue sits at the top of its range. A project-heavy new-construction shop that lives and dies on the owner's relationships sits at the bottom.
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- Recurring maintenance agreements. This is the single biggest lever. Predictable service revenue is worth far more than one-off installs.
- Replacement and service mix over new construction. Service and replacement work is steadier and higher margin.
- A trained, licensed crew that will stay. In this labor market, techs are an asset, not just a cost.
- Clean, normalized books. Three years of returns that tie to your P&L with provable add-backs.
- Strong online reviews and a real brand. It lowers the buyer's customer-acquisition risk.
What drags it down
- You are the business. If you are the top closer and the senior tech, a buyer discounts for that.
- Customer concentration. One builder or property manager driving most of your revenue is a risk.
- Messy financials. If your books do not tie out, buyers assume the worst and SBA underwriting stalls.
- Deferred everything. Aging trucks, expired licenses, no systems.
The Nevada advantage
Nevada has no state income tax, so when you sell, the state does not take a separate cut of your gain. Combined with strong population growth in Las Vegas and the Reno corridor, that makes Nevada HVAC businesses attractive to out-of-state buyers and private-equity-backed platforms rolling up home services.
How to get a real number
A range from an article is a starting point, not a valuation. To know what your specific business is worth, you normalize the earnings, apply the right multiple for your size and mix, and adjust for your risk profile. That is what I do for owners, confidentially and with no obligation to sell.
Want a real number on your business?
I do confidential, no-pressure valuations for owners of trades and service businesses. No obligation to sell.
Book a 20-minute call